Monday 25 May 2015

Offseason Outlook 2015: New Orleans Saints

Offense

The Saints were not good last season. There are a lot of people that think last season will start the downfall of Drew Brees too. THIS IS NOT THE END OF DREW BREES PEOPLE! He was a lot better than given credit for last season, and for an entire Saints team that struggled, he was once again their best player. Brees did have a subpar season by his standards, but he is still elite, and until he is actually bad, then I'm not going to count him out. Apart from Brees, the Saints made a lot of changes. The most notable one is the trade of Jimmy Graham to the Seahawks. I might be crazy, okay I'm definitely crazy, but I don't think this was as lopsided of a deal as NFL analysts imply it is. Jimmy Graham is an elite tight end. Is he Gronk level elite? No, but he's the second best tight end in the NFL that's for sure. Still, the Saints upgraded their biggest weakness on offense (center) through the trade, and they got a first round pick too. Max Unger is a good center, and when he's fully healthy he can be a great one. He's going to be in the middle of what figures to be a very good offensive line for New Orleans in 2015. At left tackle, Terron Armstead should be the guy moving forward. He had a solid season, although he needs to be more consistent, and he's a young guy that should grow as a player. At left guard, the Saints first 1st round pick should start there for them Andrus Peat has a future as a good starting tackle in the NFL, but the Saints one hole on their O-line is at left guard and he should have an immediate impact and in fact has high upside at the position. At right guard, Jahri Evans returns for his 10th season with NO, and he has been a staple for them his entire career. He is extremely durable (starting all but two games in his 9 year career), and is as reliable as they come at the position. To round out the O-line, at right tackle the Saints have one of the most underrated offensive lineman in Zach Strief. He is incredibly reliable and was the Saints best offensive lineman last season. This strong offensive line will really help the Saints in changing their strategical approach as a team. By the moves they made this offseason, New Orleans seems to be leaning more towards a run-centric offense to preserve Brees' arm. In the backfield, the Saints resigned last years breakout running back, Mark Ingram. They also signed C.J. Spiller who could prove to be a huge signing. Ingram will probably be the lead back, but adding the change of pace Spiller to the mix brings a huge home run threat to go along with Ingram's hard running style. These two could quietly become a great RB tandem, so watch out. At tight end, the Saints have two players that will be key to their offense in 2015 and for entirely different reasons. First, Benjamin Watson is going to be relied upon to be an impactful blocker at the position. He has been an underrated player for years now, but his blocking has opened up a lot of opportunities in the run game, and passing game, for this Saints team in recent years. The other player the Saints will rely on at tight end in 2015 is Josh Hill. Reports say that New Orleans was willing to part with Jimmy Graham because they really believe in the talent of Hill. He won't be a Jimmy Graham, but if he can be a solid red zone option for Brees and occasionally stretch the seems, then he will be huge for this offense. At wide receiver, the Saints are not as deep as they have been in recent years. Marques Colston is getting older, and apart from Brandin Cooks they don't have a lot of talent at the position. Cooks is awesome though. He had an up and down rookie season, but he could quickly become Drew Brees' safety blanket and most reliable target if he isn't already. This offense put up the highest total yards in 2014, and were top 10 in points per game too. They are not doomed by the loss of Jimmy Graham. This is an improved O-line, and they are changing their philosophy on offense too. With the shift to a more run focused offense, this should cut down on the turnovers, and actually help them score more. I think this offense will be a top 7 offense in the NFL next season, and their new approach will work wonders. Brees will also have a terrific season again, and even though I don't think he will throw for 5,000 yards or 40 touchdowns, he will be more efficient then he has been in recent years.

Defense

This defense has nowhere to go but up in 2015. They were the 5th worst defense in 2014 after a season in which they were the 4th best defense in 2013. Just based off of them not making a lot of roster changes on defense, there is enough talent for them to succeed. On the defensive line, Cameron Jordan leads a young, improving group. Jordan had an up and down year in 2014 after a really strong 2013, so hopefully he can capture his 2013 form again next season. John Jenkins or Brodrick Bunkley will be the starting nose tackle. Both of those players are average starters, but nothing incredible should be expected out of them. Opposite Jordan, Akiem Hicks is entering his fourth season, and he has proven to be a solid player for them. This linebacker group has gone through some change this offseason. The Saints drafted Stephone Anthony at the end of the first round. He should be a solid player straight out of the gate, but I didn't have him as a great ILB, I think he's an above average player at best. He should still be an upgrade over Curtis Lofton though, and they also traded for Dannell Ellerbe to play alongside Anthony. Ellerbe wasn't great last season, but he has talent and a change of scenery could really benefit him. At the edge rusher position, New Orleans has added depth to a group that just had Junior Galette as a good player last season. This offseason, they signed Anthony Spencer to a prove it deal, and if he reaches his ceiling he could be a game changer for them. He's a great pass rusher, and he could take a lot of pressure off of Galette. The Saints also added Hau'oli Kikaha through the draft, and he should be a key cog in their pass rushing rotation next season. In the secondary, this team is coming off of an atrocious year yet they have a lot of talent. They signed Jairus Byrd in the 2014 offseason, but he didn't play a down for them last season because of injury. Byrd will have a huge impact on a defense that is really missing that ball hawking free safety. Beside Byrd, Kenny Vaccaro is coming off of a bad year, but in 2013 he showed a lot of promise and still has a ton of talent. Vaccaro will definitely have to prove himself in 2015, but I believe he can still do that. At cornerback, the Saints signed Brandon Browner to pair with Keenan Lewis. This should be a big physical duo and an upgrade from 2014, although they still aren't an elite pair. This defense should be solid. Chances are it will fall somewhere in the middle of the 2013 and 2014 ranking, which is enough for Saints fans to be excited about. If this defense is league average, then the Saints have a very good chance to compete as their offense will be very good. The added edge rushers will really help this defense alleviate the pressure off of the secondary, and getting Jairus Byrd back from injury is a huge addition to the team. They had a lot of trouble stopping both the pass and the run, and the additions at ILB and OLB should benefit this team in the near future. I expect a middle of the pack finish, although there is more talent than there 2013 roster so a top 5 finish wouldn't be the most shocking thing in the world either.

This Saints team has a lot of questions. They have gone through a lot of changes and are coming off of a bad year. With that being said, if they are a top 3 team in the NFL next season, that would not shock me one bit. There is so much talent and history of this team, with this roster, doing great things. Rob Ryan needs to fix this defense. That should be the first priority, and the draft and free agency have been indicators that the Saints are really trying to do just that. I think the signing of Anthony Spencer could be a very impactful one, and I also think that the change in philosophy on offense is for the best. I still think the Saints are going to go through their fair share of struggles, as is what usually happens when making big philosophical changes to a team. I think they will finish second in the NFC South and have a shot at the wild card, but ultimately miss the playoffs for the second consecutive year.

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