Thursday 19 November 2015

NFL Predictions: Week 11

Two consecutive bad weeks. All of the supposed "blowout" games last week were either upsets or extremely close. Hopefully this week can break the streak and get us back above .500. Hopefully...
Last Week: 5-9
Overall: 70-71-5

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX -3) -> Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers (CAR -7) -> Carolina Panthers
Oakland Raiders @ Detroit Lions (OAK -1.5) -> Oakland Raiders
Dallas Cowboys @ Miami Dolphins (Even) -> Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons (ATL -6) -> Atlanta Falcons
St. Louis Rams @ Baltimore Ravens (BAL -2.5) -> St. Louis Rams
New York Jets @ Houston Texans (NYJ -2.5) -> Houston Texans
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings (MIN -1) -> Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -5.5) -> Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Denver Broncos @ Chicago Bears (CHI -1) -> Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals @ Arizona Cardinals (ARI -5) -> Arizona Cardinals
San Fransisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (SEA -12.5) -> Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers (KC -3) -> Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots (NE -7) -> New England Patriots

A couple notes...
- The Seattle San Fran game is probably the hardest pick this week. The spread seems insane, but Seattle is still a tough team to beat at home and San Fran on the road has been so, so bad this year. I'm picking Seattle even with the crazy spread, but I won't be shocked in the slightest if San Fran keeps it close or even if they somehow win after their bye week.
- So I think the smartest thing for me to do is to pick against Green Bay until they figure their shit out. Last game was awful. Denver and Carolina were rough, but they are at least good teams. Detroit is not, and it was so bad. Minnesota at home after 5 wins in a row, that's going to be a tough one for Green Bay.
- I am weirdly on board for the Jaguars and Titans game on Thursday. Should be very entertaining. I think Jacksonville might be able to actually blow this one out, but I've been high on the Jags all year so who knows.
- Cincinnati vs. Arizona should be incredible. Game of the week potential here, and the trash talking has already started too. I don't think Cincinnati was necessarily exposed on Monday night against the Texans, but they'll definitely have to up their game A LOT to beat the Cardinals on the road.
- Romo's back! I'm not a Cowboys fan but it's just good for football to have one of the ore underrated QB's back healthy. Should be able to beat a lacklustre Dolphins squad.
- Upset of the Week: Denver Broncos @ Chicago Bears. Chicago is a substantially better team then I thought, but this is still Denver we're talking about. Manning is out, which might end up being good for them. As long as Osweiler doesn't put them in an enormous hole, this defense will find a way to win.
- Lock of the Week: Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers. Carolina is a great team, and I am completely on board. Washington has it's moments, but they capitalized on a very weak New Orleans defense and aren't that good. Carolina should handily beat them, and Carolina's defense should absolutely eat up Kirk Cousins and an inconsistent offense.

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