NFL Predictions: Week 10

Ugh, brutal week. This has to be a week where I revisit my outlooks on teams, as there were a handful of teams in which I am completely baffled by week-in/week-out. So much inconsistency out of teams this year, but that's what the NFL is. Hopefully I can bounce back from a rough week 9.
Week: 5-8
Overall: 65-62-5

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets (NYJ -2.5) -> New York Jets
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (GB -11.5) -> Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB -1.5) -> Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers @ Tennessee Titans (CAR -4.5) -> Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears @ St. Louis Rams (STL -7.5) -> Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints @ Washington Redskins (NO -1) -> New Orleans Saints
Miami Dolphins @ Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -6.5) -> Philadelphia Eagles
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT -5.5) -> Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens (BAL -5.5) -> Jacksonville Jaguars
Minnesota Vikings @ Oakland Raiders (OAK -3.5) -> Oakland Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (DEN -6.5) -> Denver Broncos
New England Patriots @ New York Giants (NE -7) -> New England Patriots
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks (SEA -3) -> Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans @ Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -11) -> Cincinnati Bengals

A couple notes...
- I have no idea what to think of the Saints, but when it comes down to it, I would still be surprised if they lose to Washington. Should be a high scoring game, but I think the Saints pull away with this one.
- Green Bay is in desperate need of a win, and it doesn't get much easier than facing the 1-7 Lions at home. Lambeau Field should provide some life into this Green Bay team after two tough losses to two great teams on the road, and I predict Rodgers to absolutely light up a struggling Lions defense.
- Carolina, New England and Cincinnati all have fairly easy games this week and should continue their undefeated seasons going into week 11 (although everybody always loves a Patriots Giants grudge match).
- Upset of the Week: Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks. This is also my game of the week, as these two teams should feel a sense of urgency in this game, as Arizona is now fighting for a first round bye with Green Bay, and winning in Seattle would go a long way to help that, and Seattle is a few more losses away from being ousted from playoff contention all together. Seattle feels like they've lost their home field dominance (see game versus Lions, one extremely close play and they lose to the worst team in the NFL) and Arizona is a more complete, talented team.
- Lock of the Week: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers. I explained it above, but Rodgers is going to blow up Detroit's defense, and a struggling Lions offense is just what this Packers D needs to regain it's early season form.
- With Big Ben out, I think Cleveland will be able to keep it close with the Steelers. Although I still think it's ridiculous the Browns aren't playing Manziel, McCown has been good this year and he should outplay Landry Jones.
- Kansas City seems like a team to play Denver well (west coast offense, which alleviates pressure from the QB by getting the ball out of his hands quickly) but Denver is just too good. If Manning has an okay game, this one shouldn't be that close.