Saturday 2 January 2016

NFL Predictions: Week 17

Last week of the regular season. I'll need a miracle to break even on the year, but hopefully I can at least end on a high note.

Last Week: 8-8
Overall: 113-120-7

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (NYJ -3) -> New York Jets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (CAR -10.5) -> Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins (NE -10) -> New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -9.5) -> Cincinnati Bengals
New Orleans Saints @ Atlants Falcons (ATL -5.5) -> Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans (HOU -6.5) -> Houston Texans
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (PIT -11) -> Pittsburgh Steelers
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs (KC -7) -> Oakland Raiders
Tennessee Titans @ Indianpolis Colts (IND -6) -> Tennessee Titans
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (WAS -4) -> Washington Redskins
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears (EVEN) -> Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants (NYG -5) -> New York Giants
San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos (DEN -9) -> San Diego Chargers
St. Louis Rams @ San Fransisco 49ers (STL -3.5) -> St. Louis Rams
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (ARI -6.5) -> Arizona Cardinals
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers (GB -3) -> Green Bay Packers

A couple notes...
- Part of me wants to bet on all the 9 outcomes that would get the Colts to the playoffs, but I just can't bring myself to do that... Still rooting for that to happen though.
- The last week of the season is one of the toughest weeks to bet on because depending on the score in certain games teams sometimes pull their starters and play more conservative, which screws with the spread.
- The Colts are in a position where best case scenario Charlie "Clipboard Jesus" Whitehurst is their starter. Best case. That's just ridiculous. The Titans have not been playing good football this entire year, but they should keep it close and could easily pull off the upset.
-The Chiefs have been playing really good football, but it hasn't been because of their offense. Oakland is a young talented team that overall has played well this year, I think they should keep it close enough to cover the spread.
- I'm still shocked that Pittsburgh lost to Baltimore. Either way I feel comfortable going in on Big Ben having a big game against the Browns. On top of that, for the 4th straight year, Cleveland is starting their 3rd string QB in the last week of the season, so that's hilarious.
- Hell yeah, Seattle @ Arizona and Minnesota @ Green Bay to close out this football season. I don't feel overly confident in either of my picks for those games, but that should be some entertaining football.
- Lock of the Week: Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys. I'm absolutely stunned that I think Washington is a lock, but this is what this season has come down to. Captain Kirk has been terrific throughout the second half of the season and Dallas has not. Simple as that.
- Upset of the Week: San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos. None of my "upsets" are games where I think the underdog is actually going to flat out win, I just think they will cover the spread. I feel pretty good about this game being a close one. Pretty much every team has been able to keep it close with the Broncos this season (except the Packers and San Diego the first game), and the Broncos only scored 17 points the first game too. Just based off of that, I think San Diego should have a better output against a slightly more vulnerable Broncos defense (still elite, they just haven't been shutting down opponents recently).

No comments:

Post a Comment