NFL Predictions: Week 5

Back to .500! After the hole I dug myself in the first week, I'm back with a vengeance and on a bit of a streak. Two solid upset picks against the points with Minnesota keeping it close against Denver and Detroit keeping it very close against Seattle. Hopefully I can keep it up this week.
Last Week: 8-6-1
Total Record: 31-31-1

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (HOU -4.5) -> Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB -3) -> Jacksonville Jaguars
Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans (BUF -2.5) -> Buffalo Bills
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens (BAL -6.5) -> Baltimore Ravens
Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons (ATL -7.5) -> Atlanta Falcons
Chicago Bears @ Kansas City Chiefs (KC -9.5) -> Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -4.5) -> Philadelphia Eagles
St. Louis Rams @ Green Bay Packers (GB -9) -> Green bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks @ Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3) -> Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals @ Detroit Lions (ARI -2.5) -> Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots @ Dallas Cowboys (NE -9) -> New England Patriots
Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders (DEN -5) -> Denver Broncos
San Fransisco 49ers @ New York Giants (NYG -7) -> San Fransisco 49ers
Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Diego Chargers (SD -3) -> San Diego Chargers

A couple notes...
- Luck isn't playing tonight, makes the Houston game easier, but the Texans have been dreadful on offense this year. Tough one either way.
- Lock of the Week: Give me the Cincinnati Bengals. I have been so unimpressed with the Seahawks at the start of this season, and it took me awhile but I am firmly on this Bengals bandwagon. Cincinnati is a great team, and their strengths can take advantage of Seattle's weaknesses. They're a much better team then the Detroit Lions and they should handily win against a Seattle team that has struggled to achieve any success on offense this year. Honorable mention: Denver against Oakland.
- Upset of the Week: Jacksonville Jaguars. Once again I'm picking the Jaguars in an upset, and hopefully I can be right for the second time too. Tampa Bay is a young team, and Jameis will make his fair share of mistakes, so Jacksonville just needs to capitalize on that. Blake Bortles has been much better this season, and their team as a whole is playing more sound football. Should be a competitive game between two young teams but I think Jacksonville is just better.
- There are a lot of lopsided games this week, as the Packers, Patriots, Denver, Atlanta and Baltimore should all win handily.
- New Orleans @ Philadelphia should be a terrific game. I clearly am a glutton for punishment when it comes to the Eagles, but I still think they are a good team. Bradford played arguably his best game of the year last week, and it should be very competitive against Drew Brees (if he's healthy) and the Saints.