NFL Predictions 2016: Week 6

Last Week: 8-6
Overall: 33-44

Decent week with 2 spreads missed by half a point, so I'll take it. To paraphrase Belichick, on to week 6.

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers (DEN -3) -> Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots (NE -9) -> Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants (NYG -3) -> New York Giants
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (CAR -3) -> New Orleans Saints
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins (PIT -7.5) -> Pittsburgh Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears (CHI -2.5) -> Jacksonville Jaguars
San Fransisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills (BUF -9) -> Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions (DET -3) -> Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans (TEN -7) -> Tennessee Titans
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins (PHI -2.5) -> Washington Redskins
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders (KC -1.5) -> Oakland Raiders
Atlanta Falcons @ Seattle Seahawks (SEA -6) -> Atlanta Falcons
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (GB -4) -> Green Bay Packers
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (HOU -3) -> Houston Texans
New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals (ARI -8) -> Arizona Cardinals

A couple notes...
- I hate betting on San Diego games because of Phillip Rivers. He's the only reason they are competitive (although Joey Bosa is awesome) and it could be close on Thursday. Denver is still the way better team though, and Siemian is back too.
- Pats should win, but 9 points is a ton versus a talented Bengals squad.
- Lock of the Week: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins. It seems too easy for me to go lock of the week as any team facing the Browns, so I'll go the Steelers. Their offense has seemed unstoppable since Le'Veon Bell has come back, and Miami does not have the cornerback talent to even hinder Antonio Brown. Give me Pittsburgh all day long.
- Upset of the Week: Kansas City @ Oakland Raiders. Oakland at home against a team that has really struggled to get any pressure on opposing QB's. Should be a close game, but Oakland has too much talent on offense. Derek Carr would need to have a really poor game for Oakland to lose.
- Seattle vs. Atlanta is going to be an awesome game. I'm buying into Atlanta after last week, Matt Ryan has been great and they pulled out a massive win against Denver. Seattle has come on strong, but still need to work on their consistency on offense. Although Jimmy Graham looking like Jimmy Graham is a huge help.
- Another huge game is Dallas @ Green Bay. Dom Capers has done wonders against rookie QB's, but Dak is on another level right now. Dallas worked over Cincinnati last week, but Green Bay is still the better team, even with their offensive struggles. Also, underrated storyline is Green Bay's stout run defense vs. Ezekiel Elliott. Should be a lot of fun, but Green Bay at home is tough to bet against.

NFL Predictions: Week 6

That was a pretty crazy week. I got a lot of the teams right, most of them actually, but I missed some of the spreads by as close as 1.5 points. I still leave week 5 with a record above .500, and some momentum having not had a negative week since week 2.
Last Week: 7-6-1
Overall: 38-37-2

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints (ATL -3.5) -> Atlanta Falcons
Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns (Den -4) -> Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills (CIN -3.5) -> Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs @ Minnesota Vikings (MIN -4) -> Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC -1) -> Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions (DET -3) -> Detroit Lions
Washington Redskins @ New York Jets (NYJ -6) -> New York Jets
Arizona Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (ARI -3.5) -> Arizona Cardinals
Miami Dolphins @ Tennessee Titans (TEN -2.5) -> Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers@ Seattle Seahawks (SEA -7) -> Carolina Panthers
San Diego Chargers @ Green Bay Packer (GB -10.5) -> Green Bay Packers
Baltimore Ravens @ San Fransisco 49ers (BAL -2.5) -> San Fransisco 49ers
New England Patriots @ Indianpolis Colts (NE -10) -> New England Patriots
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -4) -> Philadelphia Eagles

A couple notes....
- Am I crazy to think Seattle has just kind of lost it? They're still a good team, but they don't have that same X-factor or whatever it was that they had the last couple years. They never would have lost a seventeen point lead in the 4th quarter last year or two years ago. I think this game will be close, but I actually think Carolina has a good shot to beat Seattle at home.
- Lock of the Week: Denver @ Cleveland. This one just seems to be served on a silver platter. I get it, Josh McCown is coming off of a great week, but there is a difference between the injury plagued Ravens defense, and this Broncos defense. They are decimating way better quarterbacks than Josh McCown, and this game will only be close if the Broncos offense can't put points on the board.  Even still, only 4 points? I'll take it.
- Upset of the Week: Carolina @ Seattle is clearly the upset of the week, but because I already went over that, I'll talk about Miami @ Tennessee. The Dolphins have a new coach, and a new philosophy: Get Tough. They ran the Oklahoma drill in their first practice, and even though I doubt they are going to be able to turn the season around, the Titans are a beatable team even for the struggling Miami Dolphins. Off a bye week, I'm expecting to see some sort of life out of these Miami Dolphins.
- One more thing, why is Arizona and Pittsburgh so close? Are people really expecting Big Ben to play? Even if he does, have people been watching the 2015 Arizona Cardinals? This is a team that is running shop through everybody they face (barring the St. Louis Rams for some strange reason). This is another lock of the week, as it just seems like free money.